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It’s possible that flood relief and drought recesion could arrive for the northeast

Flooding could happen in the regions that have been most recently hit with rain as well as for regions that have missed out on recent storms.

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Some areas of the Northeast have received localized downpours in the last week, but for others, drought conditions have worsened. There’s a chance for more widespread wet weather in the coming days, including in places that haven’t seen rain in recent weeks; however, with this possibility of rain comes the risk for flooding.

Severe weather is predicted to continue across the Midwest through Saturday, and then move into the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes on Sunday. Heavy rain is forecast to move eastward from Indiana and Michigan this morning, eventually reaching the middle of New York State, Pennsylvania, and Maryland.

Thunderstorms with severe potential are possible along the storm’s path from Buffalo, New York, to Nashville, Tennessee, during the afternoon and evening.

Although some thunderstorms may bring damaging hail or strong winds, the most common effect will likely be heavy rain. While low-lying areas are always at risk of flooding during heavy rain, some residents of this corridor face an especially high risk.

Rain has been particularly heavy in some parts of the affected area this August. This is especially true for the states of Ohio, Kentucky, and West Virginia. Two days of rain totaled 4.74 inches in Cincinnati, bringing the total rainfall for the month to over 6 inches. Within the past week, Charleston, West Virginia was flooded and a state of emergency was declared after 4.44 inches of rain fell in less than 48 hours. At least 37 people lost their lives because of the historic flooding that began at the end of July in southeastern Kentucky.

AccuWeather Meteorologist Nicole LoBiondo warned that flooding was a real possibility in these areas because of the recent heavy rains because of the thunderstorms expected on Sunday.

Some of the wet weather is expected to linger into Monday across the Ohio Valley, but the brunt of the storm is expected to move into the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

LoBiondo predicted that the storm’s path would bring the heaviest rain to the interior of the Northeast and northern New England.

The Eastern Seaboard, however, should expect rain and thunderstorms.

Monday is forecast to be the wettest day along the Interstate 95 corridor, including in cities like Philadelphia and New York. Monday’s showers may cause puddles to form on roads and, in low-lying areas, flash flooding. In a heavier downpour, visibility may decrease, so travelers should be on the lookout.

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Those with outdoor plans early in the week or some students’ first days of school would be rained out, but the rain would be welcome in most of the region. U.S. Drought Monitor data shows that slightly more than half of the Northeast is in a drought.

Southern New England is in greatest need of the rain at the moment. Roughly ninety-nine percent of Rhode Island is experiencing a severe drought, and 75 percent of Massachusetts is enduring a severe or extreme drought.

There has only been 0.89 inches of rain in Boston since July 1. Over 5 inches of precipitation is typical during this time.

The amount of rain that may fall on southern New England on Tuesday depends on where the storm goes overnight.

The region’s nascent hints of autumn might be hampered if the dry weather persists through the rest of August.

Long-range meteorologists at AccuWeather issued a warning earlier this month, with the release of the 2022 Fall Forecast, that dry conditions and lingering warmth could cause a delay in the peak of fall foliage.

LoBiondo warned that a worsening of the dry conditions over the next month or so could threaten the vibrant fall leaf colors.

We expect drier conditions to return to the Northeast for the latter half of the week, making it more pleasant to spend time outdoors in the remaining weeks of summer.

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