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Late on Wednesday, United States predictions indicated foul weather could form in southwestern Gulf of Mexico

The new tropical depression could form on Friday in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure



According to AccuWeather analysts, a new tropical depression could develop as soon as this Friday in the southwest Gulf of Mexico.

A large region of showers and thunderstorms connected to an area of low pressure that was situated over the southwest Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche was becoming more organized, according to satellite images.

There was a little window of time for the system to form, according to meteorologists who have been monitoring this area of the Atlantic basin for days. However, it appears that the system will remain long enough in warm waters, allowing it to quickly strengthen and organize.

Forecasters at AccuWeather have classified this developing system, which the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has assigned the name Invest 99L, as a tropical rainstorm. It has a medium likelihood of intensifying into a tropical depression or storm as of Friday.

In the last week, the Gulf has seen the formation of another tropical rainstorm. A tropical rainstorm that hit late last weekend and early this week dumped a lot of rain on regions of South Texas and Mexico.

The outlook for the upcoming days is predicted to be similar.

According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Mary Gilbert, “This tropical rainstorm is moving over a region of high sea-surface temperatures, which can offer a limited window for the system to build into a tropical depression or tropical storm by Saturday.”

Regardless of the name, the rainfall will dump a lot of rain on parts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. Due to the possibility of flooding rainfall, this tropical rainstorm has been given a rating of less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpactTM Scale for Hurricanes for the United States and Mexico.

Gilbert stated that when a tropical rainstorm moves in from the western Gulf of Mexico, “heavy rainfall is predicted to occur across sections of eastern and northeastern Mexico as well as southern Texas.” “There will be an average rainfall of 1-2 inches (25-50 mm) across the region, with higher quantities of 2-4 inches (50-100 mm) near the eastern Mexican coast’s immediate shoreline and higher terrain south of Monterrey. Local flash flooding could result from this.”

This year, the Atlantic basin’s production of named storms has lagged somewhat behind schedule. Tropical Storm Colin, which developed early on Saturday, July 2, off the coast of South Carolina, was the last named storm to develop. Since Colin’s demise over North Carolina the next day, no further named storms have developed.


By August 15 in the Atlantic, the fourth named storm of a hurricane season often forms. Danielle is the next name on the list the NHC uses to name storms.

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast from AccuWeather’s meteorologists was updated on Thursday after first being published in the spring. AccuWeather’s team of long-range forecasters is now projecting a total of 16, which includes the three storms that have already formed, down from their earlier projection of 16 to 20 named storms.

Nevertheless, with more than three months left until the season’s scheduled finish on November 30, AccuWeather experts continue to predict a very busy hurricane season.

In terms of 2022 continuing to be a busy season, AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Kottlowski said, “Our thinking has not altered.” “A high likelihood of hurricanes with high impacts is our main concern.”

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