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Model avoids Tyler Reddick at Watkins Glen Go Bowling

Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson are the 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen favorites



The 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen, the penultimate race of the Cup Series regular season, will get under way at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. After winning at Michigan two weeks ago and Richmond a week after that, Kevin Harvick is looking for his third straight victory. Harvick is one of eight active drivers who have won at Watkins Glen International, the site of Sunday’s race. Only two drivers in the 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen field, Chase Elliott and Kyle Busch, are repeat winners at the 2.454-mile track; the previous year’s winner, Kyle Larson, will be competing.

Currently leading the NASCAR standings, Elliott also leads the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Among the top four NASCAR drivers at Watkins Glen, he is the 9-2 favorite, followed by Tyler Reddick (13-2), Larson (7-1), and Ross Chastain (10-1). Despite being one of only 17 drivers in Cup Series history to have ever won three consecutive races in a single season (2018), Harvick is a 28-1 long shot to do so. Check out SportsLine’s latest NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks before you pore over the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen starting lineup and make any 2022 NASCAR predictions.

This NASCAR prediction model was developed by Mike McClure, a daily Fantasy expert and predictive data engineer for SportsLine. The model runs 10,000 simulations of each race, factoring in things like track history and recent results.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Martin Truex Jr. as the 2021 season’s Martinsville winner, yielding an impressive 3-1 payout. Then Chase Elliott, a 5-2 underdog, took the checkered flag at Road America. After correctly predicting Larson’s victory in the season-ending race at Phoenix, McClure’s model correctly predicted Larson to win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. It correctly predicted five of Larson’s victories that season.

As of early 2022, Ross Chastain had far better odds of winning in Austin than his 40-1 odds would indicate. The model also had high hopes for Joey Logano before his surprise victory as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington, and again after his return as a 14-1 favorite after his victory in St. Louis. It was last week on Kevin Harvick that he won at Michigan, despite the odds being much higher than the 17-1 that were originally posted. Its recommended plays resulted in massive gains for anyone who followed its advice.

After that, the model ran 10,000 simulations of the 2022 NASCAR race at Watkins Glen. For an anticipated 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen standings, head to SportsLine.

For the NASCAR race at Watkins Glen in 2022, here are the best predictions we have.

A.J. Allmendinger is a 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen favorite for the model, despite being a 14-1 long shot in the most recent 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds. Anyone in search of a substantial windfall should aim their sights at him. Allmendinger is currently leading the Xfinity Series standings for the second year in a row. While he can’t accumulate points as a part-timer in the Cup Series, his performance has been steadily improving over the past 11 races. Through the first five races of the Cup Series season, his best finish was twentieth, but in the subsequent six races, he has placed inside the top 20, including three top-ten finishes.

The first of Allmendinger’s two Cup Series victories came at The Glen in 2014. Allmendinger has finished in the top 10 six times in his last eight races at Watkins Glen in the NASCAR series. Only four other active drivers have a better average finish than his 9.9. Although Allmendinger is a part-time driver, the model suggests that he should be taken into account for wagers on the 2022 NASCAR race at Watkins Glen because of his impressive track record. Find out who the other underdogs are in NASCAR.

And in a stunning turn of events, Vegas favorite Tyler Reddick (13-2) falters badly and finishes outside the top five. The lineup at Go Bowling at The Glen in 2022 offers much better value overall. Reddick may be 14th in the NASCAR standings for 2022, but he has nothing to worry about at the finish line thanks to his two victories.

Forget about the fact that the 26-year-old Richard Childress Racing driver has been wildly inconsistent in his recent starts; his lack of urgency is reason enough to fade him. Four of Reddick’s last six starts have resulted in finishes outside the top 20, including last week’s 31st at Richmond and the week before’s 29th at Michigan. Find out which other well-liked items you should steer clear of here.

Strategy for Picking Winners at NASCAR’s 2022 Watkins Glen Race

The model is also focusing on four other drivers who have 2022 odds of 14-1 or longer to win NASCAR at Watkins Glen. In case you back these drivers, you might win big. SportsLine has the complete list of the model’s NASCAR predictions.

Who will be the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen victor? Which underdogs decide to go for the finish line? To see the full projected 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen leaderboard from the same model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season, click here to visit SportsLine now.

Championship at the Glen in 2022: betting lines, lineup

Check out all of our expert predictions and best wagers for the NASCAR race at Watkins Glen.

Elliott, Chase, 9-2.

Reddick, Tyler, 13-2.

With Kyle Larson leading, 7-1, and Ross Chastain trailing, 17-2, and Austin Cindric leading, 10-1

Martin Truex Jr. 20-1 Denny Hamlin 20-1 Chris Buescher 22-1 Joey Logano 25-1 Kevin Harvick 28-1 Michael McDowell 35-1 Alex Bowman 35-1 Brad Keselowski 12-1 Chase Briscoe 14-1 AJ Allmendinger 15-1 Daniel Suarez 16-1 Ryan Blaney 16-1 Christopher Bell 16-1 William Byron, 35-1 35-1

Among the drivers, Kimi Raikkonen is at 50-1, Ty Gibbs at 60-1, Cole Custer at 150-1, Bubba Wallace at 150-1, Erik Jones at 150-1, Aric Almirola at 200-1, Austin Dillon at 200-1, and Todd Gilliland at 250-1.

Joey Hand 300-1 Justin Haley 250-1

Corey Lajoie 2500-1 Ricky Stenhouse 500-1 Harrison Burton 500-1

5 thousand to one for Kyle Tillery

The 5000-1 Mike Rockefeller

There was Cody Ware 5000-1, Daniil Kvyat 5000-1, and Loris Hezemans 5000-1.