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WB predicts ‘Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero’ will make $21M-$23M with strong audiences over the weekend

We see how today’s box office did compared to last weekend.

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Update this chart and see new analysis every Saturday morning. With an estimated $77M (up 14% from last weekend) across all titles, this is not the lowest grossing weekend of the summer thanks to two wide releases. This weekend, however, is 36% lower than the corresponding period in 2019. This is a long way from the levels seen before the pandemic. At that point, Universal’s R-rated comedy Good Boys opened to $21.4M, and the top five films collectively earned over $10M.

Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero, an anime game available on Crunchyroll, is expected to earn $21 million to 23 million this weekend. The question is, why the disparity? This is due to the frontloading of these Crunchyroll (not Funimation) films. Revenue for the day on Friday was $10.9M, with an additional $4M coming from Thursday night previews. Comscore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak gives it an 85% approval rating from fans, with 75% of those who saw it saying they’d recommend it to others, and Rotten Tomatoes gives it a 91% fresh rating. It received an 84% recommendation rate from children under the age of 12 on PostTrak. There are a lot of dads and their sons in this crowd: 78% of the attendees are male and 18% are younger than 17, while 70% are older. Hispanic and Latino attendees made up 37% of the total, far outnumbering the 26% of whites, 21% of blacks, and 16% of Asians and other Asians and Pacific Islanders. More than 40% of revenue is coming from IMAX and PLFs. The West Coast and the South West were the most popular regions for Super Hero.

Orphan: First Kill, co-produced by Paramount, eOne, and Dark Castle, is set for a simultaneous wide release in 498 theaters across 126 markets on the same day as its Paramount+ debut. Yesterday, the horror sequel made $670k, bringing its total to $1M. Fairly high totals in the five major U.S. cities of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC. The film received a 68% approval rating from critics, but only a 65% rating from moviegoers.

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On a Friday around noon: With an estimated $8M-$10M today (including those $4M previews) for a $17M-$20M take at 3,130 theaters, Crunchyroll’s anime sequel Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero is on track to steal No. 1 at the box office. Beast, starring Idris Elba, opened today at 3,743 theaters for Universal and has already made $4.1 million. The studio is hoping for a 3-day total of $10 million.

Weekend 33 of last year saw the release of Disney and 20th Century Fox’s action comedy Free Guy, starring Ryan Reynolds, to a fantastic $28.3M (it legged out to $121.6M domestic). This serves as a reminder that August isn’t necessarily slow as kids return to school, but rather the lack of product now, duh.

Sony’s Bullet Train is bringing in $2 million today, down 47% from a week ago, and an estimated $7 million to $7.5 million in its third weekend, down 44% on the high end, for a total of $68.4 million at this point.

DC League of Super-Pets, distributed by Warner Bros., is projected to take in $1.4 million on Friday, down 29%, and $5.1 million over the weekend, down 27%, for a total of $66.8 million.

In its thirteenth weekend, Paramount’s Top Gun: Maverick is projected to earn $1.4 million today, down 29% from yesterday, and $5 million over the course of the weekend, bringing its global total to $682.5 million by Sunday.

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The $15 million mark is within reach for Super Hero after its strong opening night, while the fate of Beast, which has a 72% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes, is likely to be in the single digit range at 3,743 theaters. Ouch. Booking in 3,100 theaters (3,900 screens) over a 90-day theatrical window, “Super Hero” boasts cutting-edge technologies like Imax, 4DX, Dolby, and D-box.

For comparison, in March, Crunchyroll’s Jujutsu Kaisen 0 opened in 2,003 theaters and earned $2.88 million on its opening night, leading to a three-day weekend of $14.8 million and a total weekend-plus-previews figure of $17.6 million. Super Hero’s Thursday night soars above both of those figures. As of right now, Super Hero is doing better than Crunchyroll’s Demon Slayer from March 2020, which did $3.8M in previews before its $21.2M opening.

Preview night earnings for Paramount’s alligator horror title Crawl were $1 million, which translated to $4.3 million on Friday and $12 million in its opening in July 2019; Beast’s Thursday earnings were just below that. In comparison, Universal’s Ambulance, directed by Michael Bay, earned $700,000 on its Thursday before a lackluster $3.2 million Friday and $8.7 million domestic start.

Sony’s Bullet Train, which is in the regular ranking category, had a -18% drop in revenue to $1.25M on Thursday, playing to an estimated 4,357 theaters. This brings its two-week total to $19.9M and its cumulative gross to $61M.

On its 12th Thursday, Top Gun: Maverick earned $870K at 3,181, -10%, for a total of $10.8M and a cumulative gross of $677.5M for Paramount.

DC League of Super-Pets, from Warner Bros., came in third on Thursday with $710K at 3,803, down 15% from Wednesday and $10.5M, -39%, and $61.7M running cume for its third week.

Thor: Love and Thunder, from Disney/Marvel, came in at number four with $3,175, a $580,000 Thursday (down 6% from Wednesday), $8,000,000 for the week, and $328,000,000 so far.

With $570K on Thursday (down 14% from Wednesday), Minions: The Rise of Gru at 3,068 grossed $7.7M for its seventh week and $346.5M overall, putting it 1.2% ahead of Illumination Entertainment’s Despicable Me 2 (which ended its domestic run at $368M) as the highest-grossing animated film in the United States.

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